• European bourses were initially lower, but now mixed whilst US equity futures are firmer; AMZN -7.7% pre-market.
• DXY is mildly lower, G10s are broadly firmer across the board with outperformance in the Antipodeans.
• USTs hold onto recent gains, Bunds digest ECB speak whilst Gilts take a breather.
• Crude prices dip as US and Iran informal talks enter the second round; Metals pare back earlier losses as high volatility...

• APAC stocks were ultimately mixed after the global market rout rolled over into the region following the continued tech woes stateside and weak US labour market data.
• US equity futures were lower but off worst levels with headwinds seen after Amazon shares dropped 10% post-earnings.
• European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% on...

• European bourses are broadly on the backfoot; US equity futures mixed, but the NQ outperforms, as chip names benefit from Alphabet boosting AI spending.
• DXY is mildly firmer, with G10s lower to varying degrees; Aussie hampered by pressure in metals, GBP lags into BoE.
• Fixed income benchmarks are mixed; USTs incrementally firmer, whilst Gilts underperform on political woes.
• Crude benchmarks slip with US-Iran meeting confirmed, Spot gold moves...

• APAC stocks were mostly lower following the continued tech selling stateside and flip-flopping regarding US-Iran talks, while commodities were pressured overnight with silver prices dropping by a double-digit percentage.
• Earnings saw Alphabet shares fall 2.0%, ARM Holdings slip 8.6%, and Qualcomm slump 10.3% after market.
• US President Trump said not much doubt that interest rates will be lowered and thinks that Warsh wants to cut rates...

• NVIDIA (NVDA) AI chip sales to China are reportedly stalled by a US security review, and Chinese customers are, meanwhile, not placing H200 chip orders.
• European bourses are broadly firmer, US equity futures are mixed with mild underperformance in the NQ.
• DXY trades flat ahead of US data, JPY underperforms as focus turns to a landslide LDP victory.
• Fixed income benchmarks are mixed; USTs are flat whilst Bunds are...

• APAC stocks were ultimately mixed as the region partially shrugged off the downbeat handover from Wall Street.
• NVIDIA (NVDA) AI chip sales to China are reportedly stalled by a US security review, and Chinese customers are, meanwhile, not placing H200 chip orders.
• US House voted (217-214) to pass the USD 1.2tln spending package to fund the government, which was sent to US President Trump, who then signed the bill to end a partial government shutdown, as...

• European bourses opened stronger, but sentiment has dipped off best levels; US equity futures are modestly firmer, with mild outperformance is seen in the NQ.
• DXY is flat, Antipodeans benefit from a rebound in metals prices with outperformance in the Aussie after the RBA hiked rates by 25bps (as expected), whilst the SoMP noted that underlying inflation is higher than expected.
• Fixed income on the backfoot with supply in focus in a shutdown-thinned US...

• APAC stocks were mostly higher with several bourses firmly recovering from the prior day's sell-off, as the region took impetus from the positive handover from Wall Street.
• US President Trump announced that India will stop buying Russian oil, while the US will be lowering tariffs on India to 18% from 25%.
• RBA hiked the Cash Rate by 25bps as expected in a unanimous decision, marking the first hike in over two years; RBA's SoMP noted that underlying inflation is...

• European bourses opened lower but now display a mixed picture; US equity futures are entirely in the red with the NQ leading losses, focus on NVIDIA/Oracle.
• DXY is flat, Aussie initially underperformed as metals got hit but now CHF lags as the risk-tone improves. JPY digests Takaichi comments and new polling which places LDP in a strong position.
• Fixed initially bid given the risk tone, but pulling back as sentiment turns mixed in...

• APAC stocks pressured with several bearish factors weighing, incl. the partial US shutdown, weak Chinese PMIs & NVIDIA's OpenAI investment stalling.
• DXY rangebound, EUR firmer but below 1.19. USD/JPY initially benefited from Takaichi's remarks, though subsequent clarification unwound this.
• Fixed benchmarks mixed, JGBs benefit from the latest election polling.
• Crude benchmarks hit alongside APAC stocks, OPEC+ maintained the pause as...

OPEC MEETING (SUN): OPEC+ is widely expected to keep its pause on oil output increases in place for March when eight key members meet on Sunday, after a sharp rebound in prices this month. Delegates told Reuters there is little appetite to change policy after Brent prices climbed by around 8% in January to above USD 70/bbl, supported by supply disruptions rather than demand. Bloomberg also reports expectations are for policy to remain unchanged, with delegates saying there is no immediate need to respond to...

• US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.
• DXY bid, USTs lower with the yield curve steeper and US equity futures down (ES -0.8%) amid the Warsh speculation.
• XAU lost the USD 5k/oz handle and XAG below USD 100/oz in a pullback from recent highs and amid USD strength.
• Crude curtailed by the USD, and as Trump plans to meet with Iranian...

• US President Trump says he will announce his Fed pick on Friday. Reports suggest the administration is leaning towards Warsh.
• DXY gained amid the Warsh speculation, to the detriment of G10 peers. USTs under pressure following this.
• Apple shares ended the extended US session flat, having initially risen after profit and revenue beat, driven by exceptionally strong iPhone demand.
• European futures point to a firmer open, US futures hit by the...

• US Senate Majority Leader Thune sees a possibility to avoid a shutdown by week’s end after Senate Minority Leader Schumer laid out Democrats' demands on ICE, CNN reported.
• European bourses are broadly firmer though DAX 40 has been pressured by losses in SAP, after disappointing cloud backlogs.
• In the pre-market: Microsoft (-6.4%, strong results, though AI spending and disappointing cloud growth weigh), Meta (+7.5%, posts record sales), and Tesla (+2%, annual revenue...

• APAC stocks were mostly subdued, with sentiment in the region clouded following a lack of fireworks at the FOMC; mega-cap US earnings saw Meta (META) rise 6.6%, Microsoft (MSFT) slip 6%, while Tesla (TSLA) rose 1.9%.
• FOMC kept rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, as expected, with the vote split at 10-2 (Miran and Waller called for a 25bps rate cut).
• Fed Chair Powell said rates are in a plausible range of neutral and at the higher end of the range of...

• European bourses are broadly lower; LVMH (-8%) sinks post-earnings, whilst ASML (+4.9%) gains after the company beat across its headline metrics, provided a rosy outlook, and announced a EUR 12bln share buyback.
• NQ boosted by ASML & SK Hynix earnings, as well as reports that China is said to have approved the first batch of NVIDIA's (+1.7%) H200 AI chips for import.
• DXY attempts a recovery to the detriment of G10s; AUD among the better performers...

• APAC stocks traded mixed with an early positive bias seen following the mostly constructive handover from Wall Street, although some cautiousness began to seep through ahead of looming key risk events.
• China is said to have approved the first batch of NVIDIA's (NVDA) H200 AI chips for import, with sources noting that China has granted approval for the import of several hundred thousand H200 AI chips, later reported to be over 400,000.
• ANZ shifted its RBA call, in...

• US President Trump's announced he is to raise tariffs on South Korean autos, lumber, pharma, and all other reciprocal tariffs to 25% from 15% due to Korea not yet enacting the trade deal.
• USD/JPY fell sharply below 154.00 without a clear catalyst, in a move similar to Friday’s post-Ueda drop, DXY is slightly lower.
• European and US equity futures are broadly in the green; a slew of US earnings are on the docket.
• Fixed benchmarks hold a...

• APAC stocks were mostly higher following on from the rebound on Wall Street, but with some of the gains capped ahead of key events and big tech earnings stateside.
• KOSPI sold off at the open following US President Trump's announcement to raise tariffs on South Korean autos, lumber, pharma, and all other reciprocal tariffs to 25% from 15% due to its legislature not yet enacting the US-Korea trade deal.
• Spot gold rebounded from the prior session's trough with a brief...

• US Senate Minority Leader Schumer threatened a partial government shutdown over DHS funding following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis man by a Border Patrol agent on Saturday.
• European bourses are mostly on the backfoot; US equity futures are incrementally lower.
• JPY surges on double intervention risks, and after PM Takaichi warned that the government is ready to take action against speculative moves; DXY pressured.
• Global fixed income...

• APAC stocks were mostly subdued amid Japanese intervention concerns and US President Trump's latest tariff threat against Canada; Trump threatened 100% tariffs on Canada if it makes a trade deal with China.
• Japanese PM Takaichi warned that the government is ready to take action against speculative moves amid a weakening currency and surge in bond yields, according to Bloomberg.
• Spot gold climbed to a fresh record high after breaching the USD 5,000/oz level for the...

• Mon: Australian Holiday (Australia Day), German Ifo (Jan).
• Tue: Chinese Industrial Profits (Dec), US Richmond Fed (Jan), US Consumer Confidence (Jan).
• Wed: Fed Policy Announcement, BoC Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, Australia CPI (Q4), German GfK (Feb), NZ Trade (Dec).
• Thu: Riksbank Policy Announcement, CBRT Minutes, EZ Money Supply (Dec).
• Fri: German Import Prices (Dec), German Unemployment...

• BoJ maintained its short-term interest rate at 0.75%, as expected, with an 8-1 vote split as Takata voted for a 25bp hike.
• BoJ Outlook Report revised its 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast higher, while shifting its 2027 forecast lower; 2026 inflation was revised higher to 1.9% (prev. 1.8%).
• USD/JPY saw two-way action on the announcement, gained during Ueda’s presser before tumbling on potential MoF activity.
• European bourses and US equity futures...

• BoJ maintained its short-term interest rate at 0.75%, as expected, with an 8-1 vote split as Takata voted for a 25bp hike. 
• BoJ Outlook Report revised its 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast higher, while shifting its 2027 forecast lower; 2026 inflation was revised higher to 1.9% (prev. 1.8%).
• USD/JPY saw two-way action on the BoJ; JGBs resumed lower following hawkish dissent and 2026 inflation forecast upgrade. 
• USD traded muted, CNH...

• The proposal by NATO's Rutte does not include the transfer of overall sovereignty, Axios reported citing sources; the plan includes the increase of security in Greenland and NATO activity in the Arctic.
• PBoC Governor Pan says China has room this year to cut RRR and interest rates, pledging flexible use of tools.
• European & US equity futures trade higher as the TACO trade takes effect, after Trump cancels tariffs on European...